Greetings, my friends! I’ve recently gotten a lot of questions from a lot of you concerning the recent delegate gains in Washington, Colorado, and Maine. Many of you were wondering whether my numbers in “The After-Math: Guam” reflected the delegates that we’d acquired at the state convention in Washington — the answer to that question is, “Basically, yes.”
This is because, from the very first delegate article, I’ve used the delegate totals from The Green Papers and they do a very good job of keeping their totals both accurate and up to date. The Green Papers had already accounted for the delegates that weren’t officially apportioned in Washington until the state convention. The good news is that we’ve gained a few delegates! While the Green Papers’ totals tend to be the most accurate on the internet, they can and do shift as the various levels of conventions do all of the confusing things that they do (like the delegates we just grabbed in WA, CO, & ME, for example — or like that time that we flipped the results in NV because Clinton’s delegates didn’t show).
For the reasons I’ve just talked about, we did indeed gain a few delegates after I’d written up the After-Math for Guam — and, since we’re already talking, I suppose that I may as well give you a very quick brief on the newest pledged delegate totals! With the handful of new delegates that I was unable to account for in the last article, the totals now stand thusly:
Clinton | 1,706 pledged delegates
Sanders | 1,419 pledged delegates
Now, to hit our target we will need:
2,026 – 1,419 = 607
607 delegates! With 926 delegates left to grab, in order to reach the legendary 2,026-delegate majority, Sanders will need:
607 ÷ 926 = 0.655 or 65.5%
And there you have it. To win the majority, Sanders will need 65.5% of the remaining vote.
The Unknowable Variables
But let the events of the last two days serve as a lesson for us all: though it is indeed gravely important, our righteous struggle to attain the majority of delegates is not the only force at work here — there remain many as-yet-unknown variables that my math cannot account for. For instance, we may yet gain more delegates at the level of the state conventions, shifting the battlefield further in our favor. Also, if we can keep the pressure on them (keep talking, sharing, yelling, about AZ, NY, etc. on social media!), there is still some hope that the results of some of the states that engaged in particularly obvious voter-suppression might be changed.
Also, for those of you who are interested in understanding or becoming involved at the state convention level, I am working on something special that should be available to you soon…
That’s it, for now, my friends — I shall return to speak with you all again, after West Virginia. In the meantime, get on those phones and donate whatever you can to Bernie Sanders! Clinton is running out of corporate donors but Sanders only has you.
John Laurits #SeeYouInPhilly
*Note: John has just joined Twitter (finally!) and you may follow him and send him pictures of your dinner and crappy mainstream media math to debunk @JohnLaurits. (If ye’d like) You can also buy John coffee HERE. [twitter-follow screen_name=’@JohnLaurits’]